Newcastle vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1924 |
NEW
4 - 0
BBU
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1924 |
WHU
0 - 0
NEW
43%
29%
29%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1924 |
ASV
0 - 0
NEW
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1924 |
BBU
1 - 1
NEW
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1924 |
NEW
1 - 3
HUR
50%
25%
24%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1924 |
ARS
2 - 0
LIV
49%
27%
25%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1924 |
ARS
1 - 0
MAC
46%
26%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1924 |
NTT
0 - 2
ARS
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1924 |
ARS
1 - 2
PNE
53%
25%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1924 |
BUR
4 - 1
ARS
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |