Newcastle vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
9.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1910 |
TOT
0 - 4
NEW
28%
24%
49%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1910 |
NEW
2 - 2
BCF
72%
16%
12%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1910 |
BRA
3 - 3
NEW
38%
25%
37%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1910 |
NEW
3 - 0
LEI
86%
9%
5%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1910 |
NEW
3 - 1
SHW
70%
18%
12%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1910 |
BRA
0 - 1
ARS
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1910 |
ARS
0 - 0
MUD
37%
24%
38%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1910 |
EVE
1 - 0
ARS
77%
13%
10%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1910 |
NTT
1 - 1
ARS
62%
19%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1910 |
ARS
1 - 2
SUN
38%
24%
38%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |