Newcastle vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
11.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1909 |
LEI
0 - 4
NEW
28%
25%
47%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1909 |
EVE
0 - 1
NEW
60%
21%
19%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1908 |
MUD
1 - 0
NEW
60%
21%
19%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1908 |
NEW
2 - 1
MUD
58%
21%
21%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1908 |
NEW
2 - 0
BBU
75%
16%
10%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1909 |
ARS
1 - 0
NOT
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1908 |
SHW
6 - 2
ARS
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1908 |
ARS
2 - 1
LEI
72%
16%
12%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1908 |
LEI
1 - 1
ARS
43%
24%
34%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1908 |
ARS
0 - 1
MUD
39%
25%
36%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |