Newcastle vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
10.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1908 |
NEW
3 - 1
LIV
70%
17%
13%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1908 |
NEW
2 - 5
ASV
66%
19%
16%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1908 |
EVE
2 - 0
NEW
50%
24%
27%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1908 |
BOL
4 - 0
NEW
43%
25%
32%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1908 |
NEW
6 - 0
FUL
86%
9%
5%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1908 |
BIR
1 - 2
ARS
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1908 |
ARS
1 - 1
BOL
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1908 |
BBU
1 - 1
ARS
57%
21%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1908 |
ARS
1 - 0
MUD
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1908 |
NTT
1 - 0
ARS
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |