Newcastle vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
11.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1907 |
EVE
3 - 0
NEW
59%
21%
20%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1907 |
NEW
2 - 0
BIR
76%
15%
9%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1907 |
NEW
2 - 0
DER
80%
13%
7%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1906 |
STO
1 - 2
NEW
37%
26%
37%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1906 |
BBU
4 - 0
NEW
39%
26%
36%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1907 |
ARS
1 - 0
PNE
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1907 |
MID
5 - 3
ARS
41%
24%
35%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1907 |
SHW
1 - 1
ARS
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1906 |
ARS
4 - 1
MAC
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1906 |
ARS
3 - 1
BCF
72%
16%
12%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |