FA Cup 1/32
Global 2-2
Newcastle vs AFC Bournemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1992 |
NEW
3 - 4
CHA
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1992 |
WAT
2 - 2
NEW
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1992 |
BOU
0 - 0
NEW
46%
24%
30%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1992 |
SOU
4 - 0
NEW
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Dec. 1991 |
NEW
2 - 1
BRO
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1992 |
BOU
0 - 0
NEW
46%
24%
30%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1991 |
BOU
2 - 1
BRE
39%
25%
37%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1991 |
BOU
1 - 2
MID
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1991 |
MID
1 - 1
BOU
72%
17%
11%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1991 |
BOU
4 - 1
CAR
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |