Newcastle U23 vs Aston Villa U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
29.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
FUL
0 - 1
NSB
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
REA
0 - 2
NSB
49%
22%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2019 |
NSB
4 - 2
WBA
71%
18%
12%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2019 |
SUN
2 - 3
NSB
19%
22%
59%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
SOU
2 - 1
NSB
49%
23%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2019 |
ASV
1 - 0
SUN
81%
13%
6%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2019 |
ASV
1 - 1
MID
73%
16%
11%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2019 |
FUL
0 - 1
ASV
34%
25%
42%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2019 |
NOR
2 - 1
ASV
22%
23%
55%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2019 |
ASV
5 - 1
MUN
50%
23%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |