Newcastle Jets vs Western United FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
37.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 3
CCM
23%
25%
52%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 1
WPH
32%
26%
43%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BRI
0 - 2
NEW
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
NEW
3 - 1
SYD
23%
25%
52%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
MCI
0 - 0
NEW
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Western United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MCI
1 - 0
WUF
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
PER
3 - 4
WUF
39%
25%
36%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
WUF
3 - 3
ADE
32%
25%
43%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
WUF
0 - 2
CCM
23%
25%
52%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
WUF
4 - 2
MFC
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |