Newcastle Jets vs Western Sydney Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
38.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
12º
10º
41
2º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
WUF
1 - 1
NEW
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MFC
2 - 0
NEW
53%
25%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 2
SYD
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
ADE
0 - 1
NEW
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
CCM
3 - 0
NEW
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Western Sydney Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
WES
1 - 1
MCI
25%
25%
50%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
PER
1 - 0
WES
27%
25%
48%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2023 |
WES
4 - 0
MFC
39%
27%
33%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
BRI
1 - 1
WES
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
WUF
1 - 0
WES
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |