Newcastle Jets vs Sydney FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
49.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
5º
11º
11º
21
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
28 | 52 |
1º
|
70% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 45 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 43 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 41 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 41 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 41 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 39 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
1º
|
30 | 38 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 36 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 36 |
10º
|
28% | |
|
|
11º
|
11 | 23 |
11º
|
56% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 18 |
12º
|
43.5% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 17 |
13º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 12% |
|
Next round
|
0.5% | 54% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 34% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
WPH
2 - 1
NEW
59%
23%
19%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
PER
0 - 4
NEW
40%
25%
36%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
NEW
0 - 1
ADE
28%
24%
48%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 0
NEW
16%
21%
63%
|
62 | 14 | 48 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 2
CCM
27%
25%
48%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
SYD
3 - 0
MEL
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
ADE
3 - 3
SYD
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
SYD
3 - 4
WUF
66%
20%
15%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
CCM
2 - 1
SYD
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
SYD
4 - 2
WES
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |