Newcastle Jets vs Spirit FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
SYD
2 - 0
NEW
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2002 |
NEW
2 - 0
SOU
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
NEW
0 - 1
SYD
34%
27%
39%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2002 |
NEW
2 - 0
PER
29%
26%
46%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
PER
4 - 1
NEW
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Spirit FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2002 |
SFC
1 - 4
NZK
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
BRI
1 - 2
SFC
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
SFC
5 - 2
SOU
30%
25%
45%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
MEL
2 - 2
SFC
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
SYD
1 - 1
SFC
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |