Newcastle Jets vs Perth Glory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
38.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
SYD
4 - 1
NEW
57%
23%
21%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 2
ADE
30%
27%
44%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
CCM
1 - 1
NEW
29%
24%
47%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
NEW
0 - 0
SYD
35%
25%
40%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2019 |
ADE
1 - 0
NEW
50%
23%
27%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
PER
1 - 2
CCM
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
WPH
1 - 2
PER
32%
25%
43%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
WUF
1 - 1
PER
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
PER
1 - 1
BRI
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
MEL
2 - 0
PER
37%
24%
39%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |