Newcastle Jets vs NZ Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2003 |
NEW
1 - 1
MEL
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2003 |
ADE
2 - 3
NEW
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2003 |
NEW
2 - 1
SYD
33%
26%
41%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
SOU
2 - 2
NEW
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2003 |
NEW
0 - 1
PER
32%
26%
43%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
NZ Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2003 |
NZK
0 - 0
MAR
45%
25%
31%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
MEL
1 - 2
NZK
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
NZK
0 - 3
ADE
44%
26%
31%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
SYD
1 - 0
NZK
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2003 |
NZK
1 - 1
SOU
36%
24%
40%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |