Newcastle Jets vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
40.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2009 |
NAG
1 - 1
NEW
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
NEW
2 - 0
ULS
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2009 |
BEI
2 - 0
NEW
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
SYD
4 - 0
NEW
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
NEW
2 - 1
PER
41%
26%
34%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
KAR
1 - 2
NAG
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
NAG
0 - 1
URA
48%
26%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2009 |
NAG
1 - 1
NEW
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
KAW
3 - 1
NAG
61%
22%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
NAG
3 - 1
SHI
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |