Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
38.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SYD
2 - 0
NEW
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 3
CCM
31%
26%
43%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 1
MFC
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BRI
3 - 0
NEW
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MCI
1 - 1
NEW
68%
19%
12%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MEL
0 - 1
BRI
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
MEL
2 - 1
MFC
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
WES
2 - 1
MEL
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
MEL
0 - 0
PER
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
MCI
2 - 1
MEL
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |