Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.7%
36.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
MCI
2 - 2
NEW
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
NEW
2 - 3
WPH
53%
24%
24%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 0
BRI
47%
25%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2018 |
NEW
2 - 0
CCM
58%
23%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2018 |
SYD
2 - 2
NEW
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
MEL
1 - 3
SYD
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
WES
0 - 3
MEL
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
MEL
3 - 2
PER
51%
25%
25%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2018 |
WPH
2 - 1
MEL
33%
25%
42%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
MEL
1 - 1
CCM
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |