Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
40.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
PER
2 - 1
NEW
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
NEW
5 - 0
WPH
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
CCM
3 - 1
NEW
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
NEW
1 - 0
MEL
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
WES
0 - 2
NEW
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
FCY
3 - 2
MEL
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 1
SYD
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
BRI
1 - 0
MEL
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 0
FCY
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
PER
1 - 2
MEL
34%
26%
41%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |