Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.7%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
41.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2006 |
NEW
0 - 3
PER
31%
27%
43%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
CCM
1 - 1
NEW
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
SYD
2 - 2
NEW
65%
22%
13%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2006 |
ADE
5 - 1
NEW
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
NEW
2 - 3
BRI
41%
28%
32%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
MEL
4 - 1
BRI
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
PER
1 - 2
MEL
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
MEL
1 - 0
CCM
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
NZK
0 - 3
MEL
25%
27%
48%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
MEL
3 - 2
SYD
37%
26%
38%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |