Newcastle Jets vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
33.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2001 |
NEW
0 - 1
SYD
31%
26%
44%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2001 |
MAR
2 - 2
NEW
69%
18%
13%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2000 |
NEW
1 - 1
SYD
59%
23%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
CSC
0 - 3
NEW
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2000 |
NEW
0 - 0
SOU
26%
24%
49%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
MEL
1 - 4
MAR
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
CSC
0 - 3
MEL
50%
24%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2000 |
MEL
1 - 1
PER
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2000 |
ADE
3 - 2
MEL
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
MEL
1 - 1
SFC
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |