Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
36.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
ROC
1 - 2
NEW
25%
22%
53%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
NEW
4 - 1
WUF
40%
23%
37%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 3
CCM
23%
25%
52%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 1
WPH
32%
26%
43%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BRI
0 - 2
NEW
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Macarthur FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
OKF
1 - 2
MFC
6%
10%
84%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SYD
4 - 0
MFC
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
WPH
3 - 0
MFC
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 0
SYD
36%
26%
39%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
ADE
1 - 2
MFC
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |