Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
41.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
4º
10º
10º
18
1º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 1% |
|
Next round
|
6.5% | 33% |
|
Mid-table
|
93.5% | 66% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
WUF
2 - 0
NEW
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
WES
3 - 3
NEW
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 1
MEL
27%
25%
48%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 2
WPH
33%
25%
42%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
NEW
3 - 1
BRI
37%
25%
38%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Macarthur FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
MFC
2 - 3
CCM
32%
23%
46%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 2
WPH
46%
25%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
MFC
3 - 0
SAB
62%
20%
18%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
MEL
0 - 1
MFC
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MFC
4 - 3
WES
37%
25%
38%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |