Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
43.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
12º
10º
44
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 1
MFC
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BRI
3 - 0
NEW
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MCI
1 - 1
NEW
68%
19%
12%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 2
PER
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 4
ADE
28%
25%
47%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CCM
1 - 1
MCI
37%
24%
39%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
WUF
0 - 3
CCM
38%
26%
35%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CCM
4 - 1
BRI
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
MEL
2 - 0
CCM
38%
25%
37%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CCM
4 - 1
MFC
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |