Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 1
SYD
22%
25%
54%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
MCI
3 - 1
NEW
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
WUF
2 - 0
NEW
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
MFC
2 - 2
NEW
59%
24%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 1
PER
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2021 |
BRI
0 - 0
CCM
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 1
CCM
42%
25%
34%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
CCM
0 - 4
BRI
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
CCM
2 - 2
SYD
27%
25%
48%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
WUF
1 - 0
CCM
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |