Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
NEW
0 - 0
WUF
36%
29%
35%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
WPH
2 - 1
NEW
50%
24%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
MCI
2 - 0
NEW
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
NEW
1 - 2
SYD
26%
25%
49%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
MEL
4 - 0
NEW
41%
25%
34%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CCM
1 - 3
WES
31%
24%
44%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
CCM
0 - 1
BRI
44%
24%
32%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
WUF
3 - 0
CCM
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
CCM
3 - 2
MEL
30%
24%
46%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
WPH
2 - 1
CCM
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |