Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
SYD
1 - 0
NEW
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
MEL
2 - 1
NEW
60%
21%
18%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
MCI
2 - 1
NEW
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2019 |
NEW
2 - 2
BRI
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 2
ADE
34%
27%
39%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CCM
1 - 1
BRI
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
CCM
2 - 1
MCI
17%
22%
61%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
WPH
3 - 2
CCM
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2019 |
SYD
5 - 2
CCM
76%
16%
8%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2018 |
CCM
1 - 4
PER
19%
23%
59%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | -1 |