Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
38.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SYD
2 - 3
NEW
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
NEW
0 - 2
ADE
39%
27%
35%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
NEW
0 - 2
BRO
82%
13%
5%
|
65 | 36 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 2
NEW
14%
21%
65%
|
66 | 27 | 39 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
NEW
4 - 1
EDG
84%
12%
4%
|
66 | 27 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CCM
1 - 0
PER
52%
25%
24%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
WES
0 - 0
CCM
50%
23%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2012 |
NAG
3 - 0
CCM
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
CCM
5 - 1
TIT
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
SEO
5 - 0
CCM
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |