A-League Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
26.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2008 |
NEW
2 - 1
PER
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
CCM
1 - 2
NEW
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2008 |
NEW
2 - 1
ADE
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2007 |
NEW
2 - 3
WPH
48%
27%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
MEL
1 - 3
NEW
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
CCM
2 - 0
WPH
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
CCM
1 - 2
NEW
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
PER
1 - 1
CCM
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2007 |
CCM
2 - 5
MEL
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
CCM
4 - 5
SYD
42%
26%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |