Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.3%
29%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
32.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
ADE
1 - 1
NEW
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2007 |
NEW
1 - 4
PER
45%
27%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
NEW
0 - 1
SYD
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2007 |
MEL
0 - 2
NEW
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2007 |
NEW
1 - 1
BRI
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
PER
0 - 1
CCM
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
CCM
2 - 0
ADE
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
CCM
2 - 1
MEL
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
SYD
3 - 2
CCM
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
WPH
1 - 2
CCM
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |