A-League Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
36.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
NEW
1 - 3
PER
33%
27%
41%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2006 |
NEW
0 - 5
BRI
48%
27%
25%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
NEW
1 - 0
MEL
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2006 |
NEW
3 - 0
NZK
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2006 |
SYD
0 - 0
NEW
52%
24%
23%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
BRI
2 - 2
CCM
40%
27%
34%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2006 |
CCM
3 - 1
MEL
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2006 |
ADE
1 - 1
CCM
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
SYD
1 - 1
CCM
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
CCM
1 - 0
NZK
77%
16%
7%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | +1 |