Newcastle Jets vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
38.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
4º
10º
10º
17
2º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 1% |
|
Next round
|
6.5% | 27.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
93.5% | 71.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
SYD
4 - 0
NEW
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
BRI
3 - 2
NEW
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 1
NEW
53%
24%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 0
WUF
42%
25%
33%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
ADE
3 - 1
NEW
59%
23%
19%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 3
MFC
43%
26%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
BRI
3 - 2
NEW
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 2
SYD
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2023 |
MCI
8 - 1
BRI
58%
22%
19%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
BRI
0 - 3
CCM
31%
26%
44%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -2 |