Newcastle Jets vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
34.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 2
MEL
37%
24%
39%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SYD
2 - 0
NEW
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 3
CCM
31%
26%
43%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 1
MFC
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BRI
3 - 0
NEW
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MEL
0 - 1
BRI
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
BRI
0 - 2
SYD
37%
28%
36%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
WPH
2 - 2
BRI
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BRI
3 - 0
NEW
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CCM
4 - 1
BRI
61%
21%
18%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |