Newcastle Jets vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
34.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 2
ADE
30%
26%
44%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
MFC
2 - 1
NEW
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
NEW
4 - 0
WPH
30%
26%
44%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
SYD
2 - 2
NEW
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
WES
2 - 2
NEW
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
BRI
3 - 0
WES
34%
26%
40%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
BRI
1 - 3
ADE
33%
26%
40%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
BRI
1 - 0
PER
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
SYD
1 - 1
BRI
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2022 |
SYD
1 - 0
BRI
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |