Newcastle Jets vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
41.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 1
CCM
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 1
SYD
22%
25%
54%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
MCI
3 - 1
NEW
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
WUF
2 - 0
NEW
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
MFC
2 - 2
NEW
59%
24%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
ADE
1 - 0
BRI
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
BRI
0 - 0
CCM
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
MCI
3 - 2
BRI
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
BRI
2 - 1
WUF
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
BRI
0 - 0
WPH
42%
25%
34%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |