Newcastle Jets vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 2
ADE
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
CCM
1 - 2
NEW
33%
25%
42%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
NEW
0 - 2
PER
29%
26%
45%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
NEW
2 - 0
BRI
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MCI
3 - 0
NEW
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
SYD
2 - 1
BRI
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
WPH
4 - 1
BRI
51%
24%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
BRI
2 - 4
MEL
28%
26%
47%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
NEW
2 - 0
BRI
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
ADE
2 - 1
BRI
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |