Newcastle Jets vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
28.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2018 |
NEW
2 - 0
CCM
58%
23%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2018 |
SYD
2 - 2
NEW
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2017 |
MEL
2 - 1
NEW
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2017 |
NEW
4 - 0
WES
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
NEW
2 - 1
ADE
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2018 |
BRI
0 - 3
SYD
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2018 |
BRI
0 - 2
WES
50%
25%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
ADE
1 - 2
BRI
51%
25%
25%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2017 |
BRI
1 - 2
PER
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
BRI
1 - 2
MEL
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |