Newcastle Jets vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
42.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
NEW
1 - 1
CCM
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
ADE
1 - 0
NEW
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2017 |
NEW
0 - 0
MEL
28%
25%
47%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
PER
3 - 2
NEW
64%
20%
16%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
NEW
2 - 1
MCI
25%
27%
49%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
ULS
6 - 0
BRI
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
BRI
1 - 2
WPH
61%
22%
18%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2017 |
BRI
0 - 0
MUA
70%
18%
12%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
PER
2 - 2
BRI
49%
24%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
MCI
2 - 2
BRI
55%
22%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |