Newcastle Jets vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ADE
0 - 0
NEW
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
NEW
1 - 1
CCM
51%
25%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
NEW
1 - 2
WES
43%
28%
30%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
MCI
2 - 3
NEW
57%
25%
18%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
NEW
1 - 0
MEL
24%
24%
52%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
BRI
1 - 1
MCI
51%
25%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
BRI
1 - 0
PER
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
SYD
0 - 0
BRI
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BRI
3 - 0
ADE
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
WPH
3 - 2
BRI
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -2 |