Newcastle Jets vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
32%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2009 |
MEL
1 - 1
NEW
57%
24%
20%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
NEW
1 - 0
GOL
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
PER
2 - 0
NEW
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
CCM
1 - 1
NEW
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
NEW
3 - 2
WPH
47%
27%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
NOR
1 - 1
BRI
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
BRI
1 - 0
CCM
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
BRI
1 - 1
WPH
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
MEL
3 - 3
BRI
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
BRI
1 - 3
GOL
65%
22%
13%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |