Newcastle Jets vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
29.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
PER
0 - 0
NEW
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
ADE
1 - 1
NEW
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2007 |
NEW
2 - 0
SYD
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2007 |
SYD
2 - 1
NEW
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2007 |
NEW
4 - 0
MEL
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
BRI
2 - 2
ADE
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
BRI
1 - 1
SYD
33%
27%
41%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2007 |
MEL
1 - 2
BRI
62%
23%
16%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2007 |
ADE
0 - 1
BRI
63%
21%
15%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2006 |
NZK
3 - 1
BRI
26%
24%
50%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | -2 |