Newcastle Jets vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
25%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
NEW
1 - 0
MEL
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2006 |
NEW
3 - 0
NZK
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2006 |
SYD
0 - 0
NEW
52%
24%
23%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
CCM
4 - 1
NEW
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2005 |
NEW
1 - 2
ADE
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
BRI
2 - 1
SYD
29%
25%
46%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
BRI
0 - 1
MEL
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
PER
0 - 2
BRI
67%
20%
14%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2006 |
ADE
4 - 2
BRI
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2005 |
BRI
1 - 1
NZK
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |