Newcastle Jets vs Adelaide United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
48.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
5º
11º
11º
31
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
31 | 51 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 43 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 42 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 42 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 40 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 38 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 38 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 38 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
1º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
12 | 24 |
11º
|
65% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 18 |
12º
|
44% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 89% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 11% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 0
NEW
16%
21%
63%
|
63 | 15 | 48 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 2
CCM
27%
25%
48%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
WES
4 - 1
NEW
53%
24%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 2
NEW
60%
22%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
NEW
0 - 1
MCI
27%
24%
49%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
ADE
2 - 2
PER
65%
20%
16%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 3
ADE
28%
24%
49%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
ADE
2 - 1
WUF
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
WES
3 - 4
ADE
40%
24%
36%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ADE
1 - 1
CCM
35%
25%
40%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |