Newcastle Jets vs Adelaide United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
34.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
NEW
0 - 2
BRO
82%
13%
5%
|
65 | 36 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 2
NEW
14%
21%
65%
|
66 | 27 | 39 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
NEW
4 - 1
EDG
84%
12%
4%
|
66 | 27 | 39 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
WBE
1 - 2
NEW
14%
21%
65%
|
66 | 18 | 48 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
NEW
2 - 4
HAM
83%
12%
5%
|
66 | 26 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
BUN
3 - 2
ADE
42%
25%
32%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
ADE
2 - 2
BUN
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2012 |
ADE
1 - 0
NAG
34%
27%
40%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
GAM
0 - 2
ADE
71%
17%
12%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
ADE
0 - 0
BUN
55%
24%
22%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |