Newcastle Jets vs Adelaide United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
35.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
SOU
4 - 1
NEW
57%
23%
21%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2003 |
NEW
2 - 0
SOU
44%
25%
30%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
NEW
1 - 1
PAP
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 1
NEW
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2003 |
NEW
2 - 1
SFC
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2003 |
ADE
1 - 0
BRI
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |