Newcastle Jets vs Adelaide City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
29.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2002 |
SOU
0 - 2
NEW
65%
19%
16%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2002 |
PAP
2 - 0
NEW
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2002 |
NEW
1 - 1
SFC
56%
24%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
MEL
2 - 1
NEW
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2001 |
NEW
2 - 0
SYD
61%
22%
16%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Adelaide City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2002 |
ADE
1 - 1
PAP
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2002 |
SFC
1 - 0
ADE
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2002 |
ADE
3 - 2
MEL
48%
24%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
SYD
1 - 1
ADE
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2001 |
ADE
3 - 0
NZK
57%
22%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |