Newcastle Breakers vs West Adelaide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
42.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Breakers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1996 |
MAR
3 - 1
NCB
83%
11%
6%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1996 |
NCB
5 - 1
NSW
87%
9%
5%
|
59 | 7 | 52 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1996 |
NSW
1 - 7
NCB
27%
23%
50%
|
59 | 8 | 51 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
SOU
2 - 0
NCB
78%
14%
8%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1996 |
NCB
0 - 2
SOU
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
West Adelaide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1996 |
WAD
0 - 1
ADE
45%
23%
32%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
ADE
0 - 0
WAD
51%
23%
26%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
MAR
2 - 1
WAD
65%
19%
17%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
WAD
3 - 2
SYD
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
SOU
2 - 1
WAD
60%
21%
19%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |