Newcastle Breakers vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
31.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Breakers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2000 |
SYD
1 - 0
NCB
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
NCB
0 - 0
CSC
55%
23%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
PER
1 - 2
NCB
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2000 |
NCB
0 - 1
PAP
56%
22%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
BRI
2 - 2
NCB
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2000 |
CSC
2 - 0
SOU
43%
24%
33%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
SOU
1 - 0
SYD
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2000 |
CSC
3 - 5
SOU
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
SOU
1 - 2
PER
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2000 |
PAP
1 - 0
SOU
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |