Newcastle Breakers vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
47.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Breakers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1996 |
BRI
3 - 2
NCB
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1996 |
SYD
3 - 0
NCB
70%
19%
12%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1996 |
NCB
0 - 4
WAD
44%
25%
32%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1996 |
MAR
3 - 1
NCB
78%
14%
8%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1996 |
NCB
3 - 0
SYD
37%
25%
38%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
WAD
1 - 0
MEL
37%
25%
38%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1996 |
MEL
2 - 0
BRI
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1996 |
MEL
0 - 0
MAR
42%
25%
34%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1996 |
SYD
0 - 2
MEL
38%
25%
37%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1996 |
MEL
1 - 1
SOU
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |