Newcastle Breakers vs Gippsland Falcons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Breakers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1998 |
WAD
3 - 1
NCB
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1998 |
ADE
4 - 0
NCB
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1998 |
NCB
0 - 0
MAR
33%
24%
42%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1997 |
MAR
2 - 1
NCB
78%
14%
8%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1997 |
NCB
2 - 3
SYD
45%
24%
31%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Gippsland Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1998 |
GIF
1 - 2
MEL
29%
25%
46%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1998 |
BRI
1 - 2
GIF
71%
17%
12%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1997 |
GIF
1 - 0
BRI
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1997 |
ADE
3 - 0
GIF
63%
22%
16%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1997 |
GIF
0 - 0
CSC
35%
27%
39%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |