Newcastle Breakers vs Canberra Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Breakers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1998 |
NCB
0 - 0
MEL
29%
24%
47%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1998 |
CSC
3 - 0
NCB
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1998 |
NCB
0 - 0
ADE
37%
26%
38%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1998 |
BRI
1 - 1
NCB
77%
15%
9%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1998 |
NCB
3 - 1
SYD
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Canberra Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1998 |
CCO
0 - 3
SOU
38%
26%
36%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1998 |
BRI
2 - 2
CCO
79%
14%
7%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1998 |
CCO
1 - 1
SOU
20%
23%
58%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1998 |
MEL
3 - 1
CCO
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1998 |
CCO
1 - 3
GIF
38%
24%
38%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |