Newcastle Breakers vs Canberra Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Breakers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1996 |
NCB
1 - 2
GIF
48%
24%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1996 |
SOU
3 - 1
NCB
69%
18%
13%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1996 |
NCB
3 - 1
ADE
32%
25%
43%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1996 |
NCB
3 - 1
SYD
27%
24%
49%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 1996 |
BRI
1 - 1
NCB
70%
18%
13%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Canberra Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1996 |
CCO
1 - 2
BRI
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1996 |
WAD
2 - 1
CCO
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1996 |
SOU
3 - 1
CCO
68%
18%
14%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1996 |
CCO
1 - 0
WAD
44%
24%
32%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1996 |
CCO
1 - 3
MAR
34%
25%
41%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |